On The Future

I just reviewed the http://www.powerpolitics.org/ Oct 9 post on "Into The Future"

My comments Are In Bold:

1. Princeton ethicist Peter Singer authors the lead essay, contending that "during the next 35 years, the traditional view of the sanctity of human life will collapse under pressure from scientific, technological, and demographic developments." Singer is prominent in his field, and is acknowledged as one of the leading scholars in the area of animal rights. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3159&print=1

I don't agreed with this, as my observation is that as people moving more into Technology & Sciences, they are more tendency to believe in the power of super-nature & also the philosophy of religions that more acceptable to their life. i.e. Stephen Hawkins is a firm believer of Christ & god. Whereas, Albert Einstein; he had said that the more he understand about Buddhism, the more he think that it is not a religion.....

2. The next essay is a prediction of the demise of political parties by former Brazilian President Fernando Henrique Cardoso. This was, for sure, one of the least persuasive essays. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3160&print=1

If you research into the human behavior, you would discover that that cannot be true. As the basic organization of groups are

Preacher's
Warrior's
Soldier's
Laborer’s


As long as the classification is there for the past; the present & into the future, my opinion is that the political parties shall exist!!

3. Christopher Hitchens follows that up with a piece on why there's a good chance that the Euro will collapse. As usual, the essay is well-written and literary; in this case, however, that hurts the strength of Hitchens' argument. The case that the Euro will collapse is certainly there; the EU has proven to be a tenuous and politically weak institution in that it's dominated by member-states and their parochial concerns. A divergence between the European economies that the EU is unable to bridge may very well lay the groundwork for a collapse, as the concept of the unified currency is predicated on the idea that Europe really is one economy.
http://foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3161&print=1

The answer can be yes & no.
Yes is Euro currency can be seen as a international currency after the US$!!

No is the currency have not actually well adopted by members' of the union that they are committed to use EU$ as their common national currencies.

4. After Hitchens comes Shintaro Ishihara, governor of Tokyo and a Japanese nationalist. He predicts that Japan will become a strong and interventionist Asian power. The general concept underlying this thinking--that the great power competition in Asia will compel Tokyo to adopt a security posture grounded in realism--has been discussed before on this blog, and I remain supportive of the theory. The movement toward a more traditional foreign policy, in fact, has already gained widespread acceptance among the elite, as expressed by the serious bipartisan effort to amend Japan's constitution and remove its mandate of pacifism.
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3164&print=1

In my observation, Japan would unlikely become a super-power in Asia. It is because the effect of Atomic bomb to end the 2nd world war still felt deep in the Heart of Japanese & the Asian in South East Asia. As well as the China is growing strong in economy, Chinese Government & people would also like to see a peaceful Japan then a military super-power Japan.

5. Minxin Pei follows with why he thinks the Chinese Communist Party will disappear, and I generally agree. China is definitely going to shift away from dictatorship and toward more democratic institutions. My one caveat would be that the Party may very well survive, but in name only; meaning that, for all intents and purposes, the old Party would be dead. Lord John Browne on why the cars of the future will hardly emit anything dangerous is decent enough, I suppose, but it seemed fairly bland compared to rest of the articles; surely he could've gone into a little more depth on this obviously important issue, as he has done in print before. Same with Professor Lawrence Lessig's argument that the public domain will disappear, which was unnecessarily alarmist and short-sighted. Among the rest of the predictions, there are only two I find of interest. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3174&print=1

In actual fact, in the Chinese history, the word of "Communist Party" never existed. For the 6,000 years of Chinese civilization, Chinese politics is model on the socialism of Chinese kind. By & large the political system is based on the "Family Politics System" which the Father of the Family have the final say, if want study the reason then Mao expel the Russian adviser's out of the China Communist International, then you would understand why I said.

6. Lee Kuan Yew, Singapore's founding father, discusses the increasing importance of demography. In his view, "it will gradually dawn on governments that immigration alone cannot solve their demographic troubles and that much more active government involvement in encouraging or discouraging procreation may be necessary." Lee, now retired from government, is unusually perceptive and honest among former politicians, and his views always deserve consideration. In this case, I think he's right to point out the important position that demography will occupy in the future; I think he's also right to say that governments will take a more active role in trying to shape demography. Nevertheless, he puts too great of an emphasis on government authority. In Asia it's true that governments will naturally play a major role in regulating procreation; indeed, they do so already. Yet political culture in the Western world is different, and I suspect that Western governments will play less of a role in fertility decisions than Lee imagines.http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3183&print=1

I believe he is right for the present & near future on this issue. I also agreed that the Western government would pay less in the intervention of role in fertility & birth control. However, if you look at the nature & history of the evolution of the human kinds, you would envisage that Nature would take it coast of it own cause. A simple analogy is looking at the "Aids" in certain countries, these is the deadly decease that cause of self-destruction today!! Whereas, No one can explains why the Mayan race disappeared over night!!

Human race is continue to be into the phrase of integration into a single race, this is what we can see now or 10 births from now, it would through at least another 1,000 perhaps 2,000 generations.